Pushkinskaya st. 43. office 10
Rostov-on-Don, Russia
e-mail: info@hjournal.ru 
tel. +7(863) 269-88-14

cubsEN (2)

Theory and methodology of social, political and economic processes risks determining in different countries of the world

Theory and methodology of social, political and economic processes risks determining in different countries of the world

Journal of Economic Regulation, , Vol. 6 (no. 2),

The study deals with the problems of the theory and methodology of social, political and economic processes risks in different countries with relative indicators of the socio-economic development level, as well as the size and condition of the public debt. Developed by the authors the methodology of determining the risks of social, political and economic processes of public policy around the world revealed close relationship between socio-economic situation of the countries and their public debt. Within the framework of this methodology two groups of factors characterizing the socio-political and economic processes in the country are being developed. After that each exponent and indicator are being processed, using expert procedures. Maximum statutory values for tentatively referenced countries with effective and ineffective government policies are identified. Then standardization (specification) and definition of integral (generalized) indexes of socio-political and economic processes in the country are taking place. After that the ranking of countries by aggregated standardized ratio is arranged, taking into account the significance of the developed indicators. The final phase of implementation methodology is identifying risks of social, political and economic processes of public policy around the world. This is the ranking of countries by ratio of stability in public policy (stability of economic and socio-political processes in the country). As the result of implementation methodology the following output was received: what really makes a difference is not the amount of the country's debt, but how effectively it manages this debt, whether it has a goal to improve social and economic indicators. Practical testing methodology has proven that studied indicators fully characterize the development of the countries, their political, social and economic situation on the world stage.

Keywords: socio-political processes; economic processes; public debt; risk assessment; risk measurement; evaluation of public debt management; rating; social development indicators; economic development indicators; quality of life

  •  Allard G., Candace M. and Williams Ch. (2012). Political Instability, Pro-Business Market Reforms and Their Impact on National Systems of Innovations. Research Policy, no. 41, pp. 638-651.
  • Bell S., Cingranelli D., Murdie A. and Caglayan A. (2013). Coercion, Capacity and Coordination: Predictors of Politial Violence. Conflict Management and Peace Science, no. 30(3), pp. 240-262.
  • Best Practices Benchmarking Report. Developing the Balanced Scorecard. Chapel Hill, NC: Best Practicies, LLC, 1999.
  • Julio B. and Yook Yo. (2012). Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment Cycles. The Journal of Finance, no. 67 (1).
  • Kaplan R. S. and Norton D. P. (2001). The strategy-focused organization: how balanced scorecard companies thrive in the new business environment. Harvard Business School Publishing Corporation. Boston, Massachusetts, 400 p.
  • Khattab A., Aldehayyat J. and Alrawad M. (2012). Executives’ Perception of Political-Legal Business Environment in International Projects. International Journal of Commerce and Management, no. 22(3), pp. 168-181.
  • Matveev B. A. (2013). Spectral risks estimation in the static study economic processes. Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, no. 37, pp. 12-19. (In Russian).
  • Mitin D., Ginzburg M. and Chepuyk O. (2014). Political uncertainty as an economic risk factor: regional perspectives from Russia. Paper of the Conference. Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), Chiсago USA. (http://conference.mpsanet.org/Online/Search.aspx?session=2217conference.mpsanet.org/Online/Search.aspx?session=2217 – Access Date: 20.07.2014).
  • Myslyaeva I. M. (2007). Public and municipal finances: tutorial. Moscow, INFRAM Publ., 360 p. (In Russian).
  • Pastor L. and Veronesi P. (2013). Political Uncertainty and Risk Premia // Journal of Financial Economics, no. 110, pp. 520-545.
  • Popov V. (2010). Mortality Crisis in Russia Revisited: Evidence from Cross-Regional Comparison. MPRA paper no. 21311. (http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21311/ - Access Date: 20.07.2014).
  • Rybakovsky L. L. (2005). Practical demographics. Tutorial. Russian ACAD. of Sciences. Institute of Social Policy Researches. 396 p. (In Russian).
  • Sokolova G. N. and Sechko N. N. (2013). The quality of life of the population of Belarus in the context of the financial and economic crisis. Sociological Researches, no. 5, pp. 31-40. (In Russian).
  • Yashina N. I. and Pouscheva E. V. (2013). Problems and approaches to evaluate the effectiveness of public debt management, taking into account the indicators of socioeconomic development of countries. Audit and Financial Analysis, no. 6, pp. 386-394. (In Russian).
Publisher: Ltd. "Humanitarian perspectives"
Founder: Ltd. "Humanitarian perspectives"
Online ISSN: 2412-6047
ISSN: 2078-5429